Wednesday, April 19, 2017

Why Urban Areas Are Blue & Rural Areas Are Red

By Victor Davis Hanson. February 23, 2017 

(Note: There are two links - one related to this article & another about his thoughts on liberalism's moral bankruptcy - at the bottom of this page.)

Not long ago on a farm south of Fresno, I watched a poorly paid mechanic in silence repair a gate’s hydraulic ram as easily and rapidly as if he were Googling on a smartphone. He seemed to me a genius in oily clothes engulfed in a cloud of cigarette smoke.

Later that same day, in Palo Alto, I talked to lots of mellifluent and highly compensated academics theorize about politics. I wondered whether they could tell hydraulic fluid from the engine oil in their imported cars. Who is really wise, who not?
A red/blue political map of the 2016 election reflects these two antithetical worlds. Eighty-five percent of geographical America voted for Donald Trump. But more than half the country’s voters living in just 15 percent of its land area went for Hillary Clinton.

How did we split into two countries? Why does rural America vote more conservative than liberal?

Those in rural and small-town America — who were more likely to pump their own water, to worry about their septic tank and to fret whether the weather will allow them to profit or lose money — think, talk and vote differently from those who expect the tap always to flow, the toilet to flush regularly and to get paid on time, rain or shine, drought or flood.

Pragmatic, autonomous and struggling people of the countryside think about building new dams and freeways to match population growth; affluent urbanites and suburbanites, with the greater luxury of second and third chances, more often dream of stalling or dismantling them to allow the landscape to return to a pristine paradise.

I work at Stanford University but live on a farm between Fresno and Visalia. What one place values does not necessarily mean much in the other.

Writing an essay no more impresses my rural neighbors than knowing how to drive a tractor or use a chainsaw is of interest to my Palo Alto colleagues. Rural people who mine, log, farm and build hold a tragic view that they are always but a day away from nature’s revenge — drought, flood or storm — and that the human experience is always a war of sorts.

But urbanites are more assured that their degrees, good intention and sophistication properly bring prosperity and security. They more likely assume that they can move on to greater things than worrying about where their food, water and fuel come from.

What America watches on television and on the silver screen is created either in Los Angeles or New York. The nation’s world-ranked Ivy League and West Coast universities are almost all in blue America. Wall Street, Silicon Valley and the preeminent financial institutions are likewise centered in urban corridors. The federal government operates in the progressive culture of Washington, D.C. The reasons for this lopsided concentration are part historical and part geographical, but not necessarily a referendum on either contemporary competency or character.

The result nonetheless is an abyss, in which power brokers who shape the way America is entertained, educated, financed and governed are often unaware of how half the country lives — or the effects of their own tastes and policies upon them. Yet the hinterland is no cul-de-sac, but rather the proud generator of most of the nation’s fuel, food and manufactured goods — the traditional stuff of civilization.

The Trump revolt was also a push back against winner-take-all globalization that enriched the populated coasts far more than the open spaces in between — that made London spiritually closer to Manhattan than to upstate New York, and Tokyo or Bangalore more attuned to the Bay Area than to the Central Valley a hundred miles away.

People outside of New York and San Francisco seemed to have the strange idea that the wheat they grew or the oil they fracked were just as important to Facebook and Goldman Sachs employees as the latter’s social media pages and stock portfolios were to farmers and oil drillers.

In part, the rural backlash was fueled by a sense that half the country — the quieter and more hidden half — did not like the cultural and economic trajectories on which the cities were taking the country. It was not just that they saw a $20 trillion debt, the slowest economic growth since the Hoover administration, a federal takeover of the health care system, offshoring, outsourcing and open borders as part of their plight.
Rather, they cited these as symptoms of a blinkered elite that had lost its bearings and was insulated from the reality that governs life elsewhere: debt really does have to be paid back rather than doubled in eight years. Something like the Affordable Care Act that is sold as offering more and costing less simply cannot be true. The cyberworld still does not bring food to the table, put fuel in the gas tank or produce wood floors and stainless steel appliances.

Urban elites seldom experience the full and often negative consequences of their own ideologies. And identifying people first by race, tribe or gender — by their allegiance to their appearance rather than to the content of their characters — has rarely led anywhere but to tribalism and eventual sectarian violence.

The result was that when Trump, the outsider without political experience, appeared as a hammer, rural America apparently was more than happy to throw him into the glass of the bicoastal establishment, without worrying too much about the shards that scattered.
There was one final goad that explains the startling Electoral College defeat of Clinton. Voters in key swing states got tired of being talked down to — as if their views on illegal immigration, abortion, identity politics, fracking, campus speech codes and the environment were the result of ignorance (or being deplorable and irredeemable) rather than due to honest differences of opinion and quite different life experiences from those of big city-dwellers.

Red-state America felt that those who lectured about the dangers of school choice often seemed to put their own kids in private academies.

Those who insisted that open borders were good for the country never seemed to live in neighborhoods side by side with undocumented immigrants. Walls on the border were proof of ignorant xenophobia; gates and walls around private tony residences were logical measures to ensure security.

Those who praised sanctuary cities certainly would not approve of other jurisdictions likewise nullifying federal laws that they too found bothersome, whether federal gun registration requirements or the Endangered Species Act. Fairly or not, for the hinterland, the election became a referendum between crude authenticity and polished hypocrisy.

In the age-old stereotyped divide between city and country — the caricature of the city slicker versus the hick, the thinker set against the maker — the urban world during the last 30 years of globalization became richer, cooler, edgier and more powerful, while its rural counterpart became poorer, stagnant, more silent and stymied. A divide widened even as it remained unknown to scientific pollsters and in-the-know pundits.

In 2016, rural America finally pushed back. And not just its conservatives and Republicans. Millions of exasperated red-state Democrats, union members and a displaced middle class sought change through a reckless and unknown outsider rather than more of the same from their own all too familiar and predictable insider.

Victor Davis Hanson is a senior fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution.

Here is Tucker Carlson's interview of Mr. Hanson on this article. 

And here is a 24 minute video of Mr. Hanson on the topic of the moral bankruptcy of liberalism.

Which Would You Consider More of a Danger?

ISIS, or MS-13?

Here's a few pieces for you to read & watch to decide.

WASDOT Has Always Been Behind the 8 Ball

Why am I NOT surprised by this news?

I've been traveling this stretch of I-5 weekly for the past year and know personally just how poor this stretch of freeway has been for the past 20 years... and it's getting worse!

WSDOT's (Washington State Dept. of Transportation) been collecting funds from taxpayers for decades, has know the projected numbers for population increase for the region for decades, and yet... we learn this. 

How typical of a politically liberal run state government who's now - because of the passage of a three county proposition last fall - in the process of committing fraud on its taxpayers by charging car tab fees on vehicles that are based on an inflated and unrealistic basis, raising their property taxes and sales taxes to pay for a project that will implement a 19th century technology - trains - to solve a 21st century problem of increased traffic congestion.

Obama Is America’s Version of Stanley Baldwin

by VICTOR DAVIS HANSON April 13, 2017 12:00 AM 

Both leaders put their successors in a dangerous geopolitical position. Last year, President Obama assured the world that “we are living in the most peaceful, prosperous, and progressive era in human history,” and that “the world has never been less violent.” Translated, those statements meant that active foreign-policy volcanoes in China, Iran, North Korea, Russia, and the Middle East would probably not blow up on what little was left of Obama’s watch.

Obama is the U.S. version of Stanley Baldwin, the suave, three-time British prime minister of the 1920s and 1930s. Baldwin’s last tenure (1935–1937) coincided with the rapid rise of aggressive German, Italian, and Japanese Fascism. Baldwin was a passionate spokesman for disarmament. He helped organize peace conferences. He tirelessly lectured on the need for pacifism. He basked in the praise of his good intentions. Baldwin assured Fascists that he was not rearming Britain. Instead, he preached that the deadly new weapons of the 20th century made war so unthinkable that it would be almost impossible for it to break out. Baldwin left office when the world was still relatively quiet.

But his appeasement and pacifism had sown the seeds for a global conflagration soon to come. Obama, the Nobel peace laureate and former president, resembles Baldwin. Both seemed to believe that war breaks out only because of misunderstandings that reflect honest differences. Therefore, tensions between aggressors and their targets can be remedied by more talk, international agreements, goodwill, and concessions. Ideas such as strategic deterrence were apparently considered by both Baldwin and Obama to be Neanderthal, judging from Baldwin’s naÏve efforts to ask Hitler not to rearm or annex territory, and Obama’s “lead from behind” foreign policy and his pledge never to “do stupid sh**” abroad.

Obama issued various empty deadlines to Iran to cease enriching uranium before concluding a 2015 deal that allowed the Iranians to continue working their centrifuges. Aggressors clearly assumed that Obama’s assurances were green lights to further their own agendas without consequences. Iran routinely threatened U.S. Navy ships, even taking ten American sailors into custody early last year. Obama issued various empty deadlines to Iran to cease enriching uranium before concluding a 2015 deal that allowed the Iranians to continue working their centrifuges. Iran was freed from crippling economic sanctions. And Iran quietly received $400 million in cash (in the dead of night) for the release of American hostages. All that can be said about the Iran deal is that Obama’s concessions likely ensured he would leave office with a non-nuclear Iran soon to get nuclear weapons on someone else’s watch. 

Obama green-lighted the Syrian disaster by issuing a red line over the use of chemical weapons and then not enforcing it. When Syrian strongman Bashar al-Assad called Obama’s bluff, Obama did nothing other than call on Russian president Vladimir Putin to beg Assad to stop killing civilians with chemical weapons. Nearly five years after Obama issued his 2012 red line to Syria, and roughly a half-million dead later, Assad remains in power, some 2 million Middle Eastern refugees have overrun Europe, and Assad is still gassing his own citizens with the very chemical agents that the Obama administration had boasted were removed.

Obama’s reset policy with Russia advanced the idea that George W. Bush had unduly polarized Putin by overreacting to Russian aggression in the former Soviet republic of Georgia. But Obama’s concessions and promises to be flexible helped turn a wary but opportunistic Putin into a bold aggressor, assured that he would never have to account for his belligerence.

Middle Eastern terrorism? Obama assured us that al-Qaeda was “on the run” and that the Islamic State was a “jayvee” organization. His policy of dismissing the phrase “radical Islamic terrorism,” along with his administration’s weird assertions that the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt was “largely secular” and that “jihad” did not mean using force to spread Islam, earned the U.S. contempt instead of support.

Russia and China launched cyberattacks on the U.S. without worry of consequences. Both countries increased their defense budgets while ours shrank. China built artificial island bases in the South China Sea to intimidate its neighbors, while Russia absorbed Crimea.

North Korea built more and better missiles. Almost weekly, it threatened its neighbors and crowed that it would soon nuke its critics, the American West Coast included.

In other words, as was true of Europe between 1933 and 1939, the world grew more dangerous and reached the brink of war. And like Stanley Baldwin, Obama was never willing to make a few unpopular decisions to rearm and face down aggressors in order not to be forced to make far more dangerous and unpopular decisions later on. Baldwin was popular when he left office, largely because he had proclaimed peace, but he had helped set the table for the inevitable conflict to be inherited by his successors, Neville Chamberlain and Winston Churchill.

Obama likewise ignored rumbling volcanoes, and now they are erupting on his successor’s watch. In both cases, history was kind while Baldwin and Obama were in office — but not so after they left.

— Victor Davis Hanson is a classicist and historian at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, and the author, most recently, of The Savior Generals. You can reach him by e-mailing author@victorhanson.com. © 2017 Tribune Media Services, Inc.

The Unlikely Christian: How a Former KGB Spy Came to Christ

There is both a video and transcript of Glenn Beck's interviews of Jack Barsky that will possibly be very fascinating to watch and/or read.

What Was That You Said, Al Gore?

A Swelling Volume Of Scientific Papers Now Forecasting Global Cooling In The Coming Decades
By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, Apr 10, 2017

Why It's Important to Protect Our 1% Property Tax Law

By Tim Eyman, Everett Herald, Sunday, April 16th, 2017, http://www.heraldnet.com/opinion/eyman-1-property-tax-cap-doing-what-voters-wanted/

      Property taxes don't increase as fast as they used to.

      Most people think that's a good thing. But a lot of powerful governments, lobbyists, and special interest groups think it’s bad. So they’re in Olympia right now trying to convince the Legislature to make it easier for state and local governments to jack up property taxes without a vote of the people.

      Some background: in the 1990's, the law allowed each government to increase regular property tax levies 6% per year. So state government got 6% increases, counties 6%, cities 6%, ports 6%, fire/library/cemetery/park/mosquito districts 6% each. With property taxes skyrocketing, we believed that voters wanted more control of over property tax increases.

      So we sponsored Initiative 747 in 2001 which limited each government’s regular property tax levy to 1% per year and required voter approval for anything higher.  And even though we were radically outspent by a well-organized opposition, voters in 37 of 39 counties, including Snohomish, approved the initiative with a whopping 58% yes vote. It was a huge victory for taxpayers.

      Six years later, in a completely goofy 5-4 ruling, the state supreme court said voters were "misled" into voting for the initiative’s property tax limit and struck it down.

      Governor Chris Gregoire quickly called a special session to reinstate the 1% limit.  Speaker Frank Chopp from Seattle said he would “proudly support” reinstating the cap.  Very liberal legislator Brendan Williams from Olympia said:   “We have a compact with voters.  When voters legislate, we need to respect their work too.”

      Governor Gregoire said, “I think the voters said very clearly what they wanted. My motivation is what the voters had to say. And the voters said they're fearful about whether they're going to be able to keep their homes. I think it is exactly what the voters want to have done.” Think about that: she heard from voters fearful of losing their homes before the Great Recession – no doubt those fears are even greater today.

      In December of 2007, 91% of House members and 81% of state senators voted yes.  And our Democrat Governor signed it into law.

      So there’s been an overwhelming vote of the people and an even broader legislative vote to make the current property tax limit the law. I highlight this history so that readers can evaluate how we got here (The Herald’s April 9 editorial, “1 percent property tax cap is starving counties,” was riddled with errors and omissions).

      In my view, there are numerous reasons the legislature should not betray taxpayers by taking away this proven protection.

      First off, all the arguments being made against it now were made during the 2001 campaign and voters rejected those arguments and overwhelmingly approved the initiative. And these same arguments were made again during the 2007 special session and the Democrat-controlled House, Senate, and Governor rejected them and reinstated it by an even wider margin.

      It’s important to know that governments get property taxes from multiple sources. Every year, they get property tax revenue from the 1%, new construction, improvements, annexations, banked capacity, real estate excise taxes, valuation jumps, and voter-approved levies. When added together, property taxes to government consistently rise faster than inflation.

      But even that isn’t the whole story. Governments get revenue not just from property taxes, but from many other taxes and fees as well. For example, overall revenue for King County’s general fund grew 8% this year even with the 1% limit in place. The fact is governments are taking away plenty of money from the taxpayers. And if any of them want more, all they have to do is ask the voters permission.

      House Bill 1764 would get rid of that voter approval requirement, allowing governments to unilaterally increase levies up to 5% per year.  So instead of voters deciding, it’ll be up to politicians.  Voters don’t want that.  Even Republicans John Koster and Terry Nealey, who originally co-sponsored HB 1764, don’t support the bill anymore – only Democrats support it now.

      If powerful governments and special interest groups are successful this year and take away the current property tax limit, it’ll be bad for taxpayers. But I believe it’ll be even worse for governments. Why? Because the current limit is a gift compared to what the taxpayers really want: across-the-board property tax reductions. Property taxes continue to be a huge burden for struggling working families. Take away the current limit and property taxes will skyrocket like they used to. And if that happens, governments will inevitably face a tax revolt and a rebellious electorate who will enthusiastically embrace a California style Prop 13 initiative that cuts-and-caps property taxes. Governments should consider themselves lucky that the current limit is in place.

      I'm tired, and voters are tired, of governments' incessant whining about this proven, effective, flexible property tax limit. It has protected taxpayers for 16 years and enjoys broad public support.  Legislators in Olympia should not take it away.

Tim Eyman co-sponsored Initiative 747. He can be reached at 425-493-9127, tim_eyman@comcast.net, www.VotersWantMoreChoices.com